The don’t-care-about-superbowl conditions update

This post contains section links to Conditions and Forecast.

Summary

Looks like it’s time to get skiing done while it’s available. We don’t have hope for much precipitation till the end of next week, and the upcoming midweek will be warm. As for snow, the 7-day forecast for anything substantial is uncertain but doubtful at this time.

Here’s the view at Great Glen and Jackson XC, both in the White Mountains of New Hampshire:

Very close to the NYC metro, High Point is open although the base is getting a bit thin. Minnewaska has some trails open, and the Upper Awosting trail is reserved for skiers, although there’s scattered debris from the ice storm earlier in the week.

In western Massachusetts, Notchview; Canterbury; Maple Corner Farm; and Stump Sprouts all report skiable conditions. The above generally have frozen granular in the early mornings softening to loose/wet granular in the afternoons. A bit further from there, Prospect Mountain in Vermont has freshly groomed corduroy and tracks waiting to be skied on (see featured image for this post).

Conditions

BETA report as of 2/10 reports fun, soft snow until Sunday when everything will be frozen solid.

Hit up ‘State of the touring centers‘ or in the menu above for reported conditions as of today. Snow depth graphic below:

Snow depth northeast US,  Feb. 11 2022 (NWS) , with ski centers marked
Snow depth northeast US, Feb. 11 2022 (NWS) , with ski centers marked

Forecast

Saturday will be quite warm again, but temps will drop overnight and into Sunday. The downstate area will get some snow on the weekend, with high temps in the low-30s. Up north, there will be some lake effect snow, with high temps in the single digits to low teens.

Monday will be cold and dry. Tuesday the temps rise, going to the upper-30s in the downstate coastal region, and teens to low-20s in the far north. Wednesday temperatures jump higher; to the mid- to upper-40s in the NYC metro area, and the mid-30s in the far north, with slightly cooler temps at elevation.

Wednesday night precipitation overspreads the region. During the night higher elevations may see snow, but during the day Thursday it will turn to all rain. Thursday will be warmer yet, reaching 60 degrees in NYC, and in the mid- to upper-40s in low-lying areas of the far north.

For Friday, temperatures start going back down somewhat, with more pronounced drop up north. During the afternoon remaining precipitation could convert back to snow, starting from the northernmost areas and working southward as the evening goes on.