You heard it here last

Winter is Coming

By now you have heard the NYC area could get 5-9″ of snow overnight, with lesser amounts as you go farther north. While there’s uncertainty in the rain/snow line, it seems pretty certain we’ll get some snow.

Minnewaska and Mohonk stand to get a nice freshening of their trails. Will Fahnestock get enough to open? Maybe. Will the snow stay till the weekend? Very possibly, since temps are going to be cooler than normal through the midweek. Grooming helps maintain skiability as long as there’s enough base.

This would be an excellent week to be retired or freelance.

Colorado 19th century skiers
Let’s not work and say that we did

Danger Will Robinson

No skiing

[Morning 2/25]: High winds and gusts make it hazardous to be out in the woods (you know, falling trees and windblown branches). Some touring centers are closed due to the wind, including Notchview, Prospect Mountain, and Lapland Lake. With the winds and debris that are likely to be on trails, today’s a no-ski day.

Weather chilly in the northern mountain regions, with some light to moderate snowfall possible today into early Tuesday. High winds and gusts today and tomorrow will create lots of debris hazards on trails. Break out the rock skis this week.

The week ahead

Weather vane

Wednesday evening into the overnight, a few inches of snow could drop on the downstate region. Could help freshen up Minnewaska and Mohonk. This will be followed by a warming trend bringing daytime temps into the upper 30s and 40s for Thursday and Friday. Total snowfall for the week could amount to several inches in the Catskills and Adirondacks, with greater amounts in the Tug Hill region.

Colder weather returns on the weekend of March 2-3, along with brisk winds and some additional precipitation. South of Albany and Vermont we will likely get a mix during Saturday, hopefully more snow at the higher elevations.

The usual NYC snowstorm

Updates:

[2/20]: Wolfsnow68 reports that Fahnestock got some snow that turned into “a downpour of freezing rain” and will remain closed. Over at Minnewaska, Antelope4455 reports “The groomers were pleasantly surprised at the relatively minimal loss of snow… Ski conditions fair overall, with some good stretches.  Base is 2 – 4″ and best coverage can still be found on Millbrook Mountain and Hamilton Point.”

Yesterday’s news

Psyched to get some snow, but it will later turn to sleet, freezing rain and rain. The worst part is the snowfall amounts will be lesser further north, meaning little that will help Fahnestock or Minnewaska- and there’s a warm front coming for Thursday.

Total new snow forecast as of Feb. 21 7am
Total new snow forecast as of Feb. 21 7am

Daytime temps on Thursday will be in the mid-40s up the entire Hudson river valley, and across Massachusetts. In the mountain regions you can expect mid-20s to about 40 for the highs.

Spring skiing weather continues through the weekend and peaks on Sunday before dropping back toward what-used-to-be-normal winter temps on Monday.

But for today and maybe tomorrow, NYC residents and commuters will practice our unique snow sports:

man slipping on crosswalk
A New Yorker demonstrating the crosswalk luge