Forecast: Blecchh

In a manner reminiscent of last year, successive precipitation fronts, first on Tuesday and a second starting Thursday afternoon will bring rain or wintry mix to areas south of Albany and southern New England. Fahnestock just announced that trails will be closed Tuesday. I’ll probably do conditions reports on Wednesday and Friday this week.

Tuesday’s snowfall could accumulate to several inches across western NY. the Tug Hill plateau, Adirondacks, and northern Green Mountains. But a sample of tomorrow’s expected weather indicates even the north country won’t be spared some wintry mix. The only areas that will escape are far inland and at high elevation:

Weather forecast for northeast US, as of Feb. 16 1pm
Weather forecast for northeast US, as of Feb. 16 1pm

Groomers will have their work cut out for them during the upcoming week. Weather and temperatures will go back and forth a couple of times through the next seven days. In addition to rain, downstate will flirt with nighttime temperatures above freezing tonight and Thursday night.

Tuesday high temps will be close to freezing even in far northern locations like Burlington VT. The mountains will be in the mid-20s. NYC metro and coastal southern New England through to Cape Cod will be in the upper-40s.

Clearer conditions bring colder temps on Wednesday: teens to low-20s up north and in the mountains, mid-20s to low-30s downstate.

Thursday the temperatures go up a few degrees to the 20s in the north country and 30s in the NYC metro and downstate regions. A storm will overspread the northeast starting in the afternoon. Precipitation will begin in southern and western NY as snow, but will change over to rain and wintry mix as the evening progresses. NY State north of Albany plus VT and NH should get snow from that system, but projections for the storm track are subject to change. Wintry mix and rain are on the menu for downstate NY and southern New England.

Temperatures Friday crest at the mid-20s to 30s up north, and mid-30s to mid-40s from the Catskills on south before heading back down below freezing as the precipitation clears out. Let’s hope there’s a decent snowpack remaining in the downstate by Friday.

For the weekend things get colder and drier. Saturday temps will be in the teens to mid-20s in the north country and mountains, and 30s in the downstate region. Sunday is forecast to be a few degrees warmer than Saturday.