Groundhog daze: conditions and forecast for week of Feb. 2, 2026

Does it seem like the last week has been a repetition of sameness? As of today any groundhog in the northeast that came out today would have seen its shadow.

Marmot with head poking out of snow on a sunny day
Marmot in snow – not a groundhog but close enough

You can still ski pretty much anywhere, but footprints are probably making the surface of paths in urban or suburban parks and trails a bit dicey. Try a golf course or head to High Point, Fahnestock, Minnewaska, or Mohonk!

This post is about conditions for Feb. 2, 2026, and forecast for the next few days. See jump links to Conditions and Forecast.

What will the skiing be like?

With a week of sunny days, transformation of the snow has started to have an effect on classic skiing and kick wax. The snow is losing structure and the surface and tracks are getting a bit glazed – fast conditions but the kick wax moves toward a warmer range than the temperature alone suggests. Skate skiing remains a good option so long as the surface isn’t too smooth or isn’t covered by sugary wind blown drifts.

“Surprisingly tricky conditions for such stable snow, mainly as a result of the tracks being left over the course of a few days. But if you get the wax right this can be the best classic skiing of the year, firm and greasy tracks. As the little strip of snow at the bottom of the track gets skied more and more it transforms faster than the other snow, and the humidity pops quicker. This is also affected by the big air temperature swings, with a low of -8F overnight warming to +22F by this afternoon.”

From snow report, Great Glen Trails, NH

Conditions now are best further north and higher where the snow has stayed colder. Still, anywhere there’s snow right now is good skiing. Mother Nature has given us a gift. Get some skiing in during the week, because we go back to the freezer for the weekend.

Hit up ‘State of the touring centers‘ or in the menu above for reported conditions as of today. Snow depth graphic below:

Snow depth northeast US, Feb. 2,, 2026 (NWS)
Snow depth northeast US, Feb. 2,, 2026 (NWS)

Upcoming weather

No major snowstorm in sight for the next week, just a minor snow shower late in the week. Watch for severe cold and wind chill on the weekend. By the bullets:

  • Light snow for NYC metro and far north on Tuesday.
  • Calmer winds Tuesday and Wednesday.
  • Lake effect snow in central and northern New York Thursday. Wind gusts could be 20mph.
  • Light snow spreads across the northeast Friday into early Saturday. Possible snow showers in parts of the northeast continue through the weekend.
  • Much breezier on the weekend, with gusts of 30mph in the north, 35+mph in the south with even stronger gusts along the coast. Dangerously cold temperatures up north, and very strong wind gusts along the coast and interior.
  • Winds abate slightly on Monday, but still very cold with harsh wind chills.

Daytime temperatures:

DateNorthern NY VT NH mtnsNorthern lowlandsHudson Highlands to NYC metro
Mo 2/2Low teensUpper teens to 20sLow 30s
Tu 3/3TeensMid 20s to low 30s30s
We 3/4Single digits to teensUpper teens to upper 20sUpper 20s to mid 30s
Th 3/5Single digitsTeens to low 20s Upper 20s
Fr 3/6Single digits to teens 20sUpper 20s to low 30s
Sa 3/7Below -10 to below zeroBelow zero to single digitsTeens
Su 3/8Below zero Single digits to teensTeens to low 20s
Mo 3/9Below zeroSingle digits to upper teensLow 20s
(temps expressed in ˚F)