[Update 3:30pm 2/13]: Fahnestock got 8″ of snow and will be opening Wednesday 2/14 with limited groomed terrain. High Point received 12-16″ and will also be open tomorrow. Minnewaska got 2-1/2″ on mostly bare ground and will not be opening trails for skiing, so we can’t expect Mohonk or the River-to-Ridge trail to be any better.

(Oeriginal post below)

The storm track that has persistently moved southward in forecasts over the past few days is in actuality at the coastline if not slightly over the water, meaning less snow for areas north of the NYC metro area.

With the storm now largely over the warmer ocean air, there’s somewhat less potential for snow vs. mix or rain. NYC will still get 4-6″, as will Boston, and areas just inland could get 8″ or more. But there will be less accumulation in the Hudson Highlands and northward than originally hoped for. Northern New York state and New England will largely miss out.

Attention now turns to multiple small, fast-moving systems from Canada and the midwest. Snowfall will primarily impact areas north of the NYC metro area, potentially bringing a crucial refresh to touring centers after last week’s warm spell.

An ‘Alberta Clipper’ will come through on Thursday night, bringing locally siugnificant accumulation of snow to northern New York State and New England. Colder, blustery winds will come with the clipper system and could leave some lake effect snow in its wake.

During the weekend, smaller systems are projected to move through from the west and south, but forecasts of track and precipitation are uncertain for now.