Enter the wet snow dragon: XC conditions for Feb. 5-12 2024

Klister and rock skis recommneded for Minnewaska, where selected trails were groomed Sunday. Elsewhere, decent to good skiing, so get it while it’s there.

Universal klister

Year of the Wood Dragon starts Feb. 10, and this weekend we’ll see rain followed by wet snow or mixed precipitation. Early in the following week, snow for the north country could be coming to refresh and change conditions again. XC skiers will be busy changing skis, technique and wax to suit the conditions.

Bruce Lee, smiling with his hands in a gongfu position, in yellow track suit.
Bruce Lee on the way water adapts its form to the situation; “be water my friend”

This post is about conditions for Feb. 5, 2023, and forecast for the next few days. See jump links to Conditions and Forecast.

Conditions

Enjoy dry, sunny, and seasonable temps for a couple of days before a warming trend and an incoming low system rain on the parate late in the week.

Wide range of trail conditions early this week- from ice and rock ski conditions at Minnewaska to hard wax classic conditions at Great Glen. Surface will be firm and fast in the mornings, with softening trails in the afternoon. Quality of grooming and luck with available snowpack makes the difference between ‘good skiing’ and ‘skiable’ conditions.

From midweek on, temperatures will rise. Skiing might be easier but cover will be thinner. Keep an eye on the forecast for early next week.

Hit up ‘State of the touring centers‘ or in the menu above for reported conditions as of today. Snow depth graphic below:

Map of northeast US, with color-coded overlay showing snow depth across the region (NWS data visualized in Google Earth)
Snow depth northeast US, Feb. 5, 2024 (NWS)

Forecast

Clear skies ans seasonably ‘normal’ temperatures to bein with, then a warming trend and dry weather for most of the coming week. Offshore snow may touch the coastal areas of Massachusetts, New Hampsire and Maine during the first part of the week.

Relatively weak low pressure system from the midwest mixes with a cold front and brings rain showers starting on Friday. Northernmost elevated t areas may see snow or some freezing rain before changeover to all rain by Saturday. Precipitation may convert to all snow for the north coutnry areas of the Adirondacks, Vermont, New Hampsure and Maine by end of day Sunday. Total amounts of rain or snow should not be significant.

Early next week, a mix of systems may bring unsettled weather and precipitation to the northeast as temperatures begin trending downward. Something to keep an eye on, but no predictions yet.

Daytime tempsMonday 2/5Tuesday 2/6Wednesday 2/7Thursday 2/8Friday 2/9Saturday 2/10Sunday 2/11
Northern NY, VT, NHMid 20s to mid30sHigh 20s to mid 30sHigh 20s to high 30sLow 30s to low 40sLow 30s to low 40sLow 40s to low 50sHigh 30s to low 40s
NYC metro and coastal New EnglandHigh 30s to low40sHigh 30s to low40s40sHigh 40sHigh 40s50sHigh 40s to low 50s