Squeaky snow, then rain on the parade: cold and breezy gives way to warm and wet.

This is the best skiing of the season. Minnewaska is still managing to keep trails groomed, and may get a sklight boost from a system tomorrow.

This post is about conditions for Jan. 18 2024, and forecast for the next few days. See jump links to Conditions and Forecast.

Conditions

It’s going to be cold (and breezy) on the trails over the weekend, but the snow will be great. Light, fluffy snow added a few inches of coverage up north and freshened up the trails. Skiers who are lucky got fresh powder for a classic jaunt. After grooming, it’s packed powder and perfect for skating or classic.

Let’s just hope that whatver snow arrives before next Wednesday provides enough cover to keep the trails open for the weekend after.

Hit up ‘State of the touring centers‘ or in the menu above for reported conditions as of today. Snow depth graphic below:

Google Earth image of northeast US, with color-coded overlay of snow depth from NWS data.
Snow depth northeast US, Jan. 18 2024 (NWS)

Forecast

Snow arriving Friday morning, with heaviest snow expected in Pennsylvania and New York State including the Hudson Valley and NYC metro region, and southern New England. Accumulations will not be very large. The period of snow will start early in the morning Friday and end end with light snow in the north country on Saturday. Saturday will be breezy, and combined with the low temperature exposure and wind chill will be a risk.

Map of northeast US with color-coded areas for greatest amounts of predicted snowfall by Jan. 21, showing more accumulation tin western NY State and west an southwest of NYC.
Total snowfall forecast through Jan. 21 2024 (NWS)

Sunday will continue to be breezy and cold. After dry days Sunday and Monday, a warm front from the Ohio valley will arrive in the northeast, meeting a cold front from Quebec. The mix of theses systems will cause a mix of precipitation- snow for the northern areas of NY and New England, but with spots of wintry mix. Light rain showers likely near the coast.

By Wednesday morning the snow showers in the north will also begin turning to rain. Rain becomes heavier and more widespread by Thursday.

Daytime tempsFriday 1/19Saturday 1/20Sunday 1/21Monday 1/22Tuesday 1/23Wednesday 1/24Thursday 1/25
Northern NY, VT, NHSingle-digits to low 20sSingle-digits to mid teensTeens to mid 20s20s to low 30sUpper 20s to mid 30s30sUpper 30s to mid 40s
NYC metro and coastal New EnglandUpper 20s to low 30sTeens to mid 20s20s to low 30sMid- to upper-30sUpper 30s to low 40s40sMid- to upper-40s